This is prerelease documentation for a service in preview release. It is subject to change.

The Prophet Recipe

The Amazon Forecast Prophet forecaster is compatible with the open-source implementation of Prophet.

How Prophet Works

The Prophet recipe (forecaster) makes forecasts at scale. You can use it with datasets that have the following properties:

  • Contain an extended time period (months or years) of detailed historical observations (hourly, daily, or weekly)

  • Have multiple strong seasonalities

  • Include previously known important, but irregular, events

  • Are missing data points or have large outliers

  • Show non-linear growth trends that are approaching a limit.

Prophet Hyperparameters

For information about Prophet hyperparameters, see the Prophet reference documentation.

Tune Prophet Models

For information about how to tune a Prophet model, see the Prophet reference documentation.